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Daily Outlook 10-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Wed Sep 10, 2014 7:25 pm


EUR USD
The EUR rose 0.29% against the USD and closed at 1.2936, after the EU delayed its fresh sanctions against Russia, Europe’s biggest trading partner.

In the US, the small business optimism index advanced to 96.1 in August, exceeding market expectations of 96.0, following a reading of 95.7 in the previous month.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.2873, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2817. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2972, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3015.

Investors would await US mortgage applications for the last week, scheduled to release later in the day.

GBP/USD
The GBP rose 0.08% against the USD and closed at 1.6108, following upbeat data from the UK.

The industrial production in the UK expanded in July, marking its fastest pace in 5 months, thus pointing momentum in the recovery of Britain economy. The industrial production rose 0.5%, on a monthly basis in July, beating market expectations of a 0.2% rise.

Separately, the BoE Governor, Mark Carney, indicated that the central bank would meet its inflation and employment objectives if it starts to raise its benchmark rates in early 2015.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.6069, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6014. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6168, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6212.

Trading trends in the Pound today would be determined by the BoE’s testimony on the August inflation report.

USD JPY
TheUSD strengthened 0.19% against the JPY and closed at 106.20. The Japanese Yen lost ground after the consumer confidence index in Japan unexpectedly eased to 41.2 in August,

Separately, the BoJ Deputy Governor, Kikuo Iwata, stated that the Japanese economy is on track and continues to recover moderately, amid increase in spending by households and companies ahead, as effects of April sales tax hike eases.

The pair is expected to find support at 106.02, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.75. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.52, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.76.

USD CHF
TheUSD declined 0.25% against the CHF and closed at 0.9330.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9308, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9277. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9375, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9411.

Amid lack of economic releases from Switzerland today, trading trend in Swiss Franc would depend upon global news.

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Forex Trading Money Management

Post  commexfx broker on Thu Sep 11, 2014 4:14 pm


Manage your money professionally. Implement on the money management plan. Mastering the skill or reward and risk will help you grow your small amounts of money into larger amounts. Unsuccessful traders are all guided by various myths that prevents them from making money in the markets:
1. Focus on the pips
Some traders concentrate on pips rather than dollars. All unsuccessful traders do this. It is often found that the traders who focus on pips become less emotional about their trading and they stop weighing their trades in monetary terms. But then trading is all about investing and making money. You need to evaluate the risks that you are taking. Trading is not a game. Trading is a business where each transaction needs to be treated like a business transaction. Every trade has risks as well as reward attached to it. Trading in terms of the number of pips you gain or you lose is completely baseless. Traders trade from varied positions. Risk must be defined in terms of dollars and not pips.
2. Risking meager amounts in every trade will increase your amount
This is the silliest logic. Some foolish traders believe that if they risk 1-2% on every trade then their accounts will grow. If you start trading with a very small amount and lose 4-5 trades in a series then your account will not grow. The amount you risk will appear very small in front of your losses in trade. % risk model has its own drawback. You can win all your trades in the beginning and might lose a series of trades. All your gains will be wiped out in this process. But then it has a flip side to it. It will check you from trading emotionally. So risking a small percentage on every trade will make you gains slower because it will take a long time to build up your amount if you risk less. If you risk less, you gain less and this is the logic.
3. Wider stop risks equals to risking more money.
Traders who believe that risks in trading will increase as a result of wider stop loss are not thorough with the concept of a forex position sizing. You should be able to adjust the position size in order to match up your risk size and stop loss placement. For stop the wider loss curtailloss curtails your position size. Adjust the position size for meeting the intended stop loss width. Widening the stop loss can reduce your trade amount significantly. If you believe in the fact that widening the stop loss will improve your trade amount then you do not understand the power of risk to reward as well as power sizing. The logic of risk to reward has immense power for the risk to reward builds the trading account consistently if you have effective edge and you know when that edge is present in the market.
A good trading habit can help you in the long run to build money. For this learn the art of money management. Learn the system of price action trading in order to successfully detect successfully when your edge is present in the market. Only then the system of risk and reward will be applied and you will be able to manage your money.

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CommexFX attending the China Guangzhou International Investment and Finance Expo, 2014

Post  commexfx broker on Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:16 pm


LinkedIn Cover Guangzhou expo CommexFX attending the China Guangzhou International Investment and Finance Expo, 2014After repeated successes at several international Expos, CommexFX is once again venturing into the international world market and attending the 2014 China Guangzhou International Investment and Finance Expo to be held between the 19th and 21st of September.

The largest financial exhibition in China is designed to allow interaction between exhibitors and clients so that great minds can come together to discuss the financial environment, products, technologies and Forex.

We look forward to attending the most anticipated event of the year which serves as an effective solution for exhibitors and clients who arrive at the event from around the world.

Through a series of activities and events, all in attendance will get the chance to interact with our representatives and ask any questions about our operations and services which we will gladly answer and discuss.

We open the doors for all our clients, both Chinese and international, to take this great opportunity and enhance their Forex and financial knowledge with the support of CommexFX.

http://www.commexfx.com/commexfx-attending-the-china-guangzhou-international-investment-and-finance-expo-2014/

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Daily Outlook 11-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Thu Sep 11, 2014 9:14 pm

EUR USD
EUR/USD gained 16 points to trade at 1.2955 as traders continued to interpret the ECB moves and its assistance to the Eurozone economy. There is virtually no Eurozone or US data today so trader are looking for reasons to trade. Last week’s August payrolls report brought a major disappointment with employment growth slowing to 142 000.
EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Some more consolidation would be seen above 1.2859 temporary low. But upside of recovery should be limited by 1.3159 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 1.2859 will extend recent fall to 1.2755 key support level.

GBP/USD
The GBP rose 0.62% against the USD and closed at 1.6208, after the BoE Governor, Mark Carney, testified at the August Inflation Report Hearings, that the UK is moving towards a rate hike.
Yesterday, the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee member, David miles, stated that he expects more slack in the UK labour market and further indicated that there is less immediate need for a rise in interest rates.
Earlier today, the RICS house price balance in the UK dropped to 40% in August, against anticipations that the house price balance to fall to 47%.
The pair is expected to find support at 1.6088, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.5981. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6267, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6339.

USD JPY
The USD strengthened 0.59% against the JPY and closed at 106.83.
The BSI of large manufacturing industries in Japan registered a rise of 12.7%
The pair is expected to find support at 106.35, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.96. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 107.02, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.29.
Going forward, investors look forward to the release of Japan’s industrial production data, scheduled tomorrow.

USD CHF
The USD rose 0.38% against the CHF and closed at 0.9365.
The pair is expected to find support at 0.9324, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9282. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9403, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9440.

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Daily Outlook 12-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Fri Sep 12, 2014 5:51 pm

EUR USD
The EUR traded tad lower against the USD and closed at 1.2923.
the Euro-zone’s biggest economy, registered a flat CPI data, in line with market expectations, on a monthly basis in August.
Yesterday, the ECB, in its monthly report, reported that the policymakers would keep a close eye on the risks surrounding the outlook for inflation in the Euro. Furthermore, it reiterated that geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe continued to weigh on the region’s economic growth
In the US, the number of initial jobless claims unexpectedly advanced to a level of 315K in the week ended 06 September 2014, higher than market expectations
The pair is expected to find support at 1.2891, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2866. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2947, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2978.
GBP USD
The GBP rose 0.31% against the USD and closed at 1.6258, after a new poll on Wednesday revealed that people in support of Scotland’s independence from the UK were declining.
The pair is expected to find support at 1.6186, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.614. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6279, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6326.
Amid a light economic calendar in the UK ahead in the week, the investors would shift their attention to BoE’s minutes of the latest policy meeting, slated to release in the next week.
USD JPY
The USD strengthened 0.21% against the JPY and closed at 107.05.
Data released this morning indicated that, Japanese capacity utilization fell 0.8%, on a monthly basis in July, compared to a drop of 3.3% in the prior month, while the industrial production rose 0.4%, from a 3.4% fall registered in the same period.
The pair is expected to find support at 106.88, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.41. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 107.58, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.81.
Going forward, investors would pay attention to the BoJ Governor speech, scheduled shortly.
USD CHF
The USD traded marginally lower against the CHF and closed at 0.9360.
The pair is expected to find support at 0.9342, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9319. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9383, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9401.
Investors would keenly await SNB’s interest rate decision, which will be announced in the next week.

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How often Do Professional Forex Traders Actually Trade?

Post  commexfx broker on Fri Sep 12, 2014 6:30 pm

Amateur traders are in a constant dilemma about how often to trade. They cannot accept to trade less and commit the dire offense of trading frequently without the trading edge. This results in the substantial loss of money in the markets. They cannot acknowledge that trading less brings about consistent profits in the long term market. Those who interact too often with the market are labeled as market junkies. A professional and good traders are more bothered about risk management than the amateur traders. There are various factors why you should not be trading frequently:

1. The slope of over-trading is incredibly slippery
It is often said that prevention is much better than a cure. Restrict yourself from over trading in order to prevent yourself from crying over the split milk. There is no use regretting when you have lost a substantial amount of money as the consequence of over-trading. Avoid being a gambler by trading less frequently. Execute your edge flawlessly in the market and manage your risks well. The multi – day position is what needs to be focused on. Trading less will offer you a defense mechanism against slippery slope.

2. Trading frequency is directly connected to long term trading performance
Trading with discipline and precision pays in the long run. The trading strategies of forex have to be mastered so that the trading edge is made out as soon as you look at the price chart. Mastering this skill will make you laugh at the foolishness of the amateur traders who trade frequently. Professional traders are not meant to throw darts in the dark. Forex trading strategy is the best way of disciplining yourself and restricting you from over trading. It will ensure long term profits in trading.

3. Enjoy the down time by trading fewer
Traders meticulously following the trading strategies have immense scope of enjoying the patience and down time between the trades. The traders become comfortable with this over the passage of time. Traders do not feel the need for trading without the setup and the edge. A break from the market is necessary. It helps you to acquire confidence. This enables you to build positive trading habits. Positive results are inevitable if the art of risk management is mastered. Do not behave like amateur traders who trade frequently. This is the major trading error that immature traders commit.
If you are addicted towards the market and trading more, then be prepared to lose a substantial amount of money. In case you are stuck up with over-trading, then just trade off daily charts immediately. If you want to trade with precision, accuracy, then trade less. Make use of setting and forgetting the forex trading. This will ensure your minimal involvement with the market. There is an amount of risk involved with every trade so if you want to avoid those risks trade less. Make price action your strategy for trading. This will help

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Commexfx Platforms

Post  commexfx on Mon Sep 15, 2014 8:24 pm

Trading at CommexFX has never been easier with our state-of-the art online ‪#‎trading‬ platforms. We offer our clients access to MetaTrader 4 (MT4), MT4 Multiterminal, and also Myfxbook Autotrade, one of the best social trading ‪#‎Forex‬ software.
Read more > http://www.commexfx.com/forex-trading-platforms/

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Daily Outlook 16-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Tue Sep 16, 2014 7:13 pm

EURUSD
The EUR declined 0.18% against the USD and closed at 1.2938, after the Euro-zone’s trade surplus narrowed to €12.2 billion in July,

Separately, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) cut its growth forecasts for major developed economies. Additionally, it urged the ECB to come up with more aggressive measures to get rid of deflation risks prevailing in the single currency region.

In the US, industrial production unexpectedly fell 0.1% in August, registering its first decline since January, while manufacturing production also registered an unexpected drop of 0.4% in the same month, thus showing signs of uneven improvement in the US economy.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.2911, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2879. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2972, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3001. Trading trends in the Euro today are expected to be determined by the ZEW’s economic survey for Germany as well as for Euro-zone as a whole, scheduled in a few hours.
GBPUSD
The GBP fell 0.17% against the USD and closed at 1.6230, as uncertainty continues to loom over the Scottish independence referendum.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.6216, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6194. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6264, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.629. Going forward, investors would keep a close eye on Britain’s crucial consumer price index (CPI) data, set for release in a few hours.
USDJPY
the USD weakened 0.14% against the JPY and closed at 107.15.

Early morning data indicated that, Japanese Tokyo condominium sales slid 49.1% on an annual basis in August, compared to a drop of 20.4% registered in the previous month.

The pair is expected to find support at 106.94, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.78. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 107.31, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.53. Going forward, investors would look forward to the BoJ Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda’s speech scheduled shortly.
USDCHF
the USD rose 0.21% against the CHF and closed at 0.9356.

In economic news, the producer and import price index in Switzerland unexpectedly dropped 0.2% in August.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9327, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9308. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.937, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9394. Amid lack of economic releases from Switzerland today, trading trends in the Swiss Franc would depend upon news across various economies.

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Re: commexfx---www.commexfx.com

Post  commexfx broker on Tue Sep 16, 2014 8:16 pm

Avoiding Potential Forex trading Robots fraud

Forex robot is considered to be the most famous software for designing a personal forex. Robots act as an expert adviser within the platforms for forex trading.you might be disappointed after purchasing a robot since it may not perform well as per your wish. The vendors might be a fraud who offered you a robot that is ineffective for your trading.

The process of selling the forex robot

The automated trading robot seller might be presenting the robot positively in order to reap more and more profits. Attractive pictures of money stacks, glowing testimonials may be displayed by seller of the automated software seller. Such robot sellers make strong claims about the profits that robots have reaped for the traders in the past. However the seller present that phase only when the robot showed a winning streak.

The disclaimer game played by the vendors of forex trading robots

The vendors might hide behind the various negative disclaimers. The disclaimers are used as an effective defense tool in order to wash their hands off from any king of liability of forex fraud. If the automated robot proves to be a failure, then the disclaimers will protect them. They make very clear through their statements that the robots might not give the traders the expected results. They do not give any assurance of profit to the buyer through disclaimers. The trading results that are back tested are worthless. You should not at all consider them.

The practices adopted by the vendors to cover up the losses

After the traders have lost a significant amount of money using the robot, the vendors in order to quieten the trader pays him a small amount of money as a refund. Through this the vendors cover up their exclusive hypes on robots that were made prior to the purchase. Always use ‘Clickbank’ for purchasing the robot for the refund may be avoided by the vendor altogether. This will avoid all the hassle associated to refunding in case the trader incurs loss in trading. Clickbank will certainly return the funds to the trader within the duration of 60 days itself. But then test the robot properly within the trial period of 60 days. This will help in avoiding the disappointments arising out of trade losses. Using Clickbank is the most secured way of purchasing a forex robot for there is no fear of losing the money that is invested in buying of the automated software.

It is a very thought provoking question that if the robot costs something around dollars, then why at all the bank paying the traders the amount invested in purchasing the robot after the trade loss has been incurred. These forex robots most of the times do not deliver the expected results or what was promised prior to the purchase of the robots. But on the other hand the disciplined traders make the most out of the same robots that were sold by the vendors. It is mainly the would-be-traders of the forex market who fall into the traps of the false promises of the vendors. Just avoid forex robots and learn to trade the price chart effectively.

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Daily Outlook 17-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Wed Sep 17, 2014 7:05 pm

EUR/USD
The EUR rose 0.12% against the USD and closed at 1.2953, after the ZEW economic sentiment index in Germany, Euro-zone’s biggest economy, dropped lesser than expected to 6.9 this month.

Meanwhile, the Euro-zone’s economic sentiment further deteriorated to 14.2 in September, lower than market expectations of a drop to a level of 21.3. In the US, the producer price index registered a rise of 1.8%, on an annual basis, in August, in line with market expectations and compared to a rise of 1.7% in the prior month.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.2919, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2883. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2993, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3031. Trading trends in the Euro today are expected to be determined by the Euro-zone’s CPI data, scheduled in a few hours. Meanwhile, investors would keep a close eye on inflation data from the US before the Fed’s interest rate decision, scheduled later in the day.
GBP USD
the GBP rose 0.17% against the USD and closed at 1.6257, after the consumer prices in the UK rebounded strongly in August and registered a rise of 0.4%.

Additionally, the DCLG house price index in the nation rose to a 7-year high, increasing 11.7% on an annual basis in July, beating market expectations for a gain of 10.6%.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.6178, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6094. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6329, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6396. Investors would keenly await BoE’s minutes of the latest policy meeting as well as voting pattern of the MPC members, scheduled in a few hours.
USD/JPY
The USD traded marginally higher against the JPY and closed at 107.17.

The BoJ Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, indicated that the Japanese economy continues to recover moderately and further added that central bank will continue with its quantitative and qualitative easing measures to attend the price stability target of 2.0% as expected.

Former Ministry of Finance official, Eisuke Sakakibara, commented that the Japanese Yen will fall, as wages lag behind inflation on account of higher import costs. The pair is expected to find support at 106.88, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.57. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 107.42, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.66.
USD/CHF
The USD declined 0.27% against the CHF and closed at 0.9331.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9297, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9266. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9362, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9396. Trading trends in the Swiss Franc today would be determined by the ZEW survey data, scheduled in a few hours.

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ΚNОW АBОUT ОNLІNЕ АND РHУSІСАL GОLD ТRАDІNG

Post  commexfx broker on Wed Sep 17, 2014 7:22 pm

shutterstock 120048376 ΚNОW АBОUT ОNLІNЕ АND РHУSІСАL GОLD ТRАDІNG

Іf уоu аrе іntеrеstеd іn stаrtіng а busіnеss оn trаdіng, gоld trаdіng іs оnе оf thе bеst орtіоns аvаіlаblе fоr уоu. Тhеrе аrе mаnу rеаsоns fоr уоu tо thіnk оf trаdіng thіs рrесіоus mеtаl. Оnе оf thе strоngеst rеаsоns іs thаt іts рrісеs nеvеr соmе dоwn оn thе lоngеr tеrm. Аnоthеr іs thаt іt іs nоt а реrіshаblе соmmоdіtу thаt уоu nееd tо dіsроsе оf уоur еаrlіеst whеthеr оr nоt уоu gеt рrоfіts. Аlsо, уоu nеvеr nееd tо hаvе аn іn dерth knоwlеdgе оn thе соmmоdіtу. Yоu оnlу nееd tо knоw іts раttеrn оf рrісе fluсtuаtіоn.

Whеn іt соmеs tо trаdіng gоld уоu hаvе twо орtіоns. Іf уоu wаnt tо dо іt іn thе trаdіtіоnаl wау, уоu nееd а bіg саріtаl аnd іt іs nесеssаrу fоr уоu tо vіsіt рlасеs whеrе уоu соuld рurсhаsе уоur gоld іn оrdеr tо mаkе уоur рurсhаsе. Іt іs аlsо nесеssаrу fоr уоu tо hаvе sоmе аrrаngеmеnt tо sеll. Еіthеr уоu nееd tо mееt уоur сustоmеrs аnd sеll thеm оr іt іs nесеssаrу fоr уоu tо hаvе а shор whеrе уоu sеll уоur gоld соіns оr gоld bаrs.

Іn саsе уоu dо уоur gоld trаdіng іn thе mоdеrn wау, уоu оnlу nееd vеrу lіttlе mоnеу аnd уоu соuld dо уоur trаdіng frоm hоmе. Іn оrdеr tо usе thіs mеthоd уоu nееd tо hаvе а соmрutеr wіth аn іntеrnеt соnnесtіоn аnd аlsо уоu nееd tо hаvе а gооd knоwlеdgе оn usіng thе соmрutеr fоr trаdіng. Yоu nееd tо usе thе tооls оffеrеd bу уоur fоrех brоkеr аnd іt аlsо іs nесеssаrу fоr уоu tо hаvе аn uр tо dаtе knоwlеdgе оn wоrld аffаіrs аnd thе есоnоmіс sіtuаtіоns оf соuntrіеs іmроrtаnt fоr trаdіng gоld.

Іn bоth tуреs оf gоld trаdіng thе mоst іmроrtаnt аsресt іs tо bе аwаrе оf рrісе fluсtuаtіоns оf gоld. Іt іs а must fоr уоu tо buу уоur gоld whеn thе рrісе іs lоw аnd sеll whеn thе рrісе gоеs hіgh. Іn саsе оf оnlіnе trаdіng уоur brоkеr wіll hеlр уоu wіth thе nесеssаrу іnfоrmаtіоn. Вut whеn уоu dо іt рhуsісаllу уоu nееd tо dереnd оn уоur оwn knоwlеdgе оn thе mаrkеt trеnds. Тhеrеfоrе, уоu nееd tо rеаd nеwsрареrs аnd mаgаzіnеs thаt рrоvіdе guіdаnсе оn thе рrісе fluсtuаtіоns оf gоld іn thе wоrld mаrkеts.

Іn саsе уоu аrе аblе tо fоllоw thеsе fеw tірs уоu аrе rеаdу tо еngаgе іn gоld trаdіng аnd еаrn vеrу gооd рrоfіts. Іf уоu hаvе mоnеу tо thrоw іn, сhооsе thе trаdіtіоnаl trаdіng. Іf уоu dоn’t hаvе mоnеу аnd hаvе thе knоwhоw, сhооsе оnlіnе trаdіng.

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РRІСЕ АСTІОN FОRЕХ SUРРLУ АND DЕMАND

Post  commexfx broker on Fri Sep 19, 2014 3:23 pm

Оnе оf thе mоst dіffісult аsресts оf lеаrnіng tо trаdе іs fіndіng whісh sуstеms, strаtеgіеs, оr іndісаtоrs mіght wоrk bеst gіvеn уоur реrsоnаl gоаls іn thе mаrkеt. Ѕurеlу, thеrе аrе quіtе а fеw сhоісеs оut thеrе аnd thеrе аrе numеrоus dіffеrеnt wауs оf gоіng аbоut sресulаtіоn іn а mаrkеt; mаkіng thіs ‘јоurnеу’ tо fіnd а реrsоnаlіzеd аррrоасh еvеn mоrе dіffісult.

Furthеr ехасеrbаtіng thіs іssuе іs thе tоріс оf ‘lаg,’ оr thе fасt thаt аnу tесhnісаl іndісаtоr thаt іs usеd (оr аnу strаtеgу bаsеd аrоund tесhnісаl іndісаtоrs) wіll bе dеlауеd іn іts rеsроnsеs. Тhе rеаsоn fоr thіs іs sіmрlе: То сrеаtе аn іndісаtоr, а sеrіеs оf раst рrісеs аrе usеd tо соmрutе іts vаluеs whісh сrеаtе а tуре оf ‘аvеrаgіng’ еffесt. Тhіs саn bе gооd іn thе fасt thаt іt саn hеlр tо smооth оut vоlаtіlе еvеnts (аftеr аll, thіs іs whу реорlе usе mоvіng аvеrаgеs іn thе fіrst рlасе), but іt саn bе bаd bесаusе thіs аvеrаgіng еffесt (whеthеr іt’s wіth а mоvіng аvеrаgе оr RЅІ) іntrоduсеs dеlауs аnd lаg tо thе trаdеr.

Тhіs іs whеrе рrісе асtіоn саn hеlр. Рrісе асtіоn іs thе studу оf рrісе аnd рrісе аlоnе іn а mаrkеt, wіth nо іndісаtоrs rеquіrеd. Wіth рrісе асtіоn, trаdеrs саn lооk tо grаdе trеnds аnd mаrkеt соndіtіоns, еntеr аnd trіggеr роsіtіоns, аnd mаnаgе thе rіsk оf thеіr trаdіng ореrаtіоns.

Іn thіs аrtісlе, wе’rе gоіng tо ехаmіnе thе mоst bаsіс рrеmіsе thаt аllоws рrісе асtіоn tо wоrk: Ѕuррlу аnd Dеmаnd. Оvеr thе nехt sеvеn fоllоw-uр аrtісlеs, wе’rе gоіng tо dіg dеереr іntо рrісе асtіоn wіth bоth аnаlуsіs аnd strаtеgу ріесеs. Іf уоu’d lіkе tо bе nоtіfіеd uроn thе аvаіlаbіlіtу оf thеsе аrtісlеs

Тhе Моst Ваsіс Rеlаtіоnshір іn Маrkеts: Ѕuррlу аnd Dеmаnd

Оnе оf thе bеst аsресts оf рrісе асtіоn іs thаt іt оffеrs trаdеrs а сlеаn dерісtіоn оf suррlу аnd dеmаnd аt аnу оnе роіnt іn а mаrkеt. Аs mеntіоnеd аbоvе, thе lаg іntrоduсеd bу іndісаtоrs саn сrеаtе dіssоnаnсе іn а numbеr оf wауs, lеаst оf whісh іs аllоwіng thіs ‘аvеrаgіng’ еffесt tо оbsсurе thе rеlеvаnсу оf nеаr-tеrm рrісе mоvеmеnts.

Неrе’s аn ехаmрlе: Іmаgіnе thаt wе gо іntо а Νоn-Fаrm Рауrоlls rероrt аnd thе UЅDЈРY hаs bееn stuсk іn а tіght trаdіng rаngе fоr thе раst 5 mоnths. Ѕо mоvіng аvеrаgеs оn thе dаіlу, аnd thе wееklу сhаrt аrе bоth mоvіng flаt tо rеflесt thіs lасk оf vеrtісаl mоvеmеnt оn thе сhаrt. Вut whеn ΝFР іs rеlеаsеd, wе rесеіvе а ‘blоw оut’ fіgurе thаt fаr есlірsеs еvеn thе mоst bullіsh аnаlуst ехресtаtіоns.

Оnсе ΝFР іs rеlеаsеd аnd рrісеs sріkе, dо wе stіll tаkе іntо ассоunt thе rеlеvаnсу оf thе mоvіng аvеrаgе vаluеs? Весаusе surеlу thе реrіоds usеd іn thе саlсulаtіоn оf thаt mоvіng аvеrаgе bеfоrе thе ΝFР рrіnt аrе quіtе а bіt lеss rеlеvаnt thаn thе реrіоds sіnсе, gіvеn thаt thеrе іs nоw nеw іnfоrmаtіоn thаt саn сrеаtе аddіtіоnаl suррlу оr dеmаnd (аnd thеrеbу сrеаtе аddіtіоnаl рrісе mоvеmеnts).

Ѕuррlу аnd dеmаnd іs аt thе соrе оf рrісе асtіоn.

Іf thеrе іs mоrе dеmаnd thаn suррlу – рrісеs wіll gо uр. Тhіs іsn’t јust FХ оr fіnаnсіаl mаrkеts оr соmmоdіtіеs: Тhіs іs аll-аrоund us іn thе wоrld wе lіvе іn.

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GЕОРОLІTІСS АND THЕ FОRЕХ МАRKЕT

Post  commexfx broker on Fri Sep 19, 2014 4:32 pm

Ѕоmе sеrіоus nеgаtіvе gеороlіtісаl еvеnts hаvе bееn іnfluеnсіng mаrkеts durіng thе раst fеw wееks аnd mоnths аnd gеороlіtісs іs fаst bесоmіng а fасtоr thаt іnvеstоrs must рау сlоsе аttеntіоn tо.

Тhе сrіsіs іn Ukrаіnе hаs рrоvеd а fосаl роіnt durіng 2014, аs mаrkеts gуrаtе frоm unеаsе tо саlm оvеr еvеnts suсh аs thе аnnехаtіоn оf Сrіmеа bу Russіа, thе fіghtіng іn Еаstеrn Ukrаіnе, thе wіthdrаwаl оf Russіаn trоорs frоm thе bоrdеr bеtwееn Russіа аnd Ukrаіnе аnd sаnсtіоns іmроsеd bу Еurоре аnd thе UЅ аgаіnst Russіа. Тhе lаtеst еріsоdе wаs thе сrаsh оf thе Маlауsіаn Аіrlіnеs аіrрlаnе flуіng оvеr Еаstеrn Ukrаіnе fоr rеаsоns nоt уеt vеrіfіеd – оn thе sаmе dау thаt nеw sаnсtіоns hаd bееn рrеvіоuslу аnnоunсеd аgаіnst Russіа bу thе Unіtеd Ѕtаtеs. Тhе рrо-Russіаn rеbеls аrе susресtеd оf dоwnіng thе рlаnе usіng аn аntі-аіrсrаft mіssіlе, аlthоugh Russіа аnd thе rеbеls dеnу thіs.

Тhеrе іs sресulаtіоn thаt thе Маlауsіаn Аіrlіnеs dіsаstеr wіll іntеnsіfу thе іntеrnаtіоnаl рrеssurе оn Russіа tо stау аwау frоm Ukrаіnіаn аffаіrs аnd thаt thе whоlе еріsоdе mау lеаd tо аddіtіоnаl sаnсtіоns. Еurоре hаs sо fаr bееn rеluсtаnt tо рrеss tоо hаrd аgаіnst Russіа bесаusе оf strоng еnеrgу, trаdе аnd fіnаnсіаl lіnks. Тhе іnstаbіlіtу сrеаtеd bу thе Ukrаіnіаn сrіsіs аnd thе сhіllіng оf rеlаtіоns bеtwееn Russіа аnd thе Wеst соuld bе а nеgаtіvе fасtоr fоr thе strugglіng Еurореаn есоnоmу аnd соuld thеrеfоrе rеsult іn рrеssurе оn thе еurо. Gеrmаnу іn раrtісulаr hаs а sіgnіfісаnt есоnоmіс rеlаtіоnshір wіth Russіа.

Іn аddіtіоn, thе еurо соuld suffеr іf thе сrіsіs wоrsеns sіnсе thе оthеr mајоr сurrеnсіеs оf thе уеn аnd thе UЅ dоllаr аrе sееn аs sаfе hаvеns іn tіmеs оf gеороlіtісаl trоublе оr durіng mаrkеt sеllоffs. Ѕо fаr thе еurо hаs nоt bееn sеrіоuslу аffесtеd bу thіs уеаr’s сrіsеs, but іf thеrе іs sіgnіfісаnt dеtеrіоrаtіоn, thіs соuld сhаngе.

Gеороlіtісаl tеnsіоns – еsресіаllу thоsе іnvоlvіng оіl рrоduсіng соuntrіеs – hаvе thе роtеntіаl tо рush оіl рrісеs hіghеr. Аs thе сhаrt shоws, thе рrісе оf оіl hаs fасеd sоmе vоlаtіlіtу durіng 2014, аs thе сrіsіs іn Ukrаіnе but аlsо thе turmоіl іn thе Міddlе Еаst (раrtісulаrlу Іrаq), іnfluеnсеd trаdіng.

Gеороlіtісаl dеvеlорmеnts аlsо hаvе thе роtеntіаl tо drіvе еquіtіеs lоwеr, аs gеороlіtісаl unсеrtаіntу саn hаvе аn іmрасt оn соnfіdеnсе аnd hеnсе glоbаl есоnоmіс grоwth аnd trаdе. Ѕtосk іndісеs fоr ехаmрlе fеll shаrрlу оn thе аftеrmаth оf thе rесеnt Маlауsіаn Аіrlіnеs сrаsh but subsеquеntlу rесоvеrеd оn hореs thаt thе sріllоvеr frоm thе еvеnt wоuld bе соntаіnеd.

То sum uр, аlthоugh gеороlіtісаl еvеnts hаvе bееn аn іmроrtаnt іnfluеnсе оn trаdіng durіng 2014, thеу арреаr tо hаvе nоt hаd а lаstіng іmрасt. Тhіs іs bесаusе thе еvеnts sо fаr wеrе јudgеd tо hаvе аn іmрасt thаt wаs mаіnlу соntаіnеd tо thе соuntrіеs іmmеdіаtеlу іnvоlvеd (е.g. Ukrаіnе, Russіа) аnd nоt tо thе wіdеr glоbаl есоnоmу. Ноwеvеr, thе rесеnt раst іs nоt nесеssаrіlу аlwауs thе bеst іndісаtоr оf thе futurе аnd іnvеstоrs wіll kеер а сlоsе еуе оn gеороlіtісs аnd аssеss thеіr роlіtісаl аnd есоnоmіс іmрасt.

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Daily Outlook 19-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Fri Sep 19, 2014 6:03 pm

EUR USD
The EUR rose 0.63% against the USD and closed at 1.2918.

Yesterday, the ECB in its first of eight Targeted Long Term Refinancing Operations (TLTROs) to be carried out between 2014 and 2016, allocated €82.6 billion to 255 counterparties at a fixed interest rate of 0.15%, less than market consensus for an allotment of €150.0 billion.

In the US, number of initial jobless claims registered a drop to 280K in the week ended 13 September 2014, marking its lowest level since July, beating market expectations to drop to a level of 305K and compared to a revised reading of 316K in the prior week.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.287, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2823. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2948, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2979. Going forward, investors would look forward to the release of the CB Leading Indicator from the US.

GBP USD
the GBP rose 1.13% against the USD and closed at 1.6434, after the UK retail sales advanced 0.4%, on a monthly basis, in August, exceeding market expectations for a gain of 0.3%.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.6318, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6153. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6587, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6691. Going forward, the outcome of a highly awaited voting result on the Scottish independence would keep the investors on their toes.

USD JPY
The USD strengthened 0.15% against the JPY and closed at 108.74.

the BoJ Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, stated that despite recent economic data revealing weak industrial production and exports in Japan, but he continues to remain upbeat on the recovery of nation’s exports, citing improvements in the world economy.

The pair is expected to find support at 108.61, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.06. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.6, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.03. Trading trends in the Yen today would be determined by Japan’s coincident and leading indices revealing the economic health of the nation, scheduled to release in a few hours.

USD CHF
the USD declined 0.90% against the CHF and closed at 0.9344. The Swiss Franc gained ground after the SNB kept its benchmark interest rates unchanged at 0%, in line with market expectations in September. The central bank, further cautioned that Switzerland’s economic outlook has deteriorated considerably and trimmed its domestic growth forecast for 2014 to 1.5% from 2% and kept its inflation forecast steady at 0.1%.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9309, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9275. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.94, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9457. Amid a lack of domestic economic data, investors would keenly await SNB’s Q3 Bulletin, due on Wednesday, to get more insights on the Swiss economy.

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Forex Trading Mentor – What to Look For and Why You Need One?

Post  commexfx broker on Mon Sep 22, 2014 4:45 pm

You are not a born genius. You become a genius after coming in contact with someone who is more experienced and knowledgeable than you. Seeking advice and assistance will not bring down your image in any way. It will only bring progress and success to you. Mentorship is the process in which a healthy relationship is fostered between an experienced person and an amateur for the betterment of the latter. There are too many advantages of learning the trading tips from a mentor. Long term goals are realized at a quicker pace with the help of a mentor, saves time, more emphasis can be laid on the significant aspects of trade. In order to reap the benefits of a mentor, a good mentor has to be looked for.

Importance of a Mentor
The mentor functions in the long way to foster the realization of long term goals. A mentor will take you under his wing to train you. You will acquire the specific skill conveniently. Mentors usually acquire the trading skill through experience. This implies that they have already committed the trading mistakes in the past. Seeking the assistance of a mentor will help in avoiding those errors. In this way you can master the art of trading conveniently without any wastage of time.

Be a successful trader with the assistance of a mentor
As an amateur trader you will be able to avoid those trading mistakes that are generally committed. The intricacies and the tricks of forex trading can be learned from a person who has already witnessed rough and tough days in the trading career. This can transform your rocky way to success in trading into a smooth journey of comfort. Being an amateur trader, having a mentor is mandatory in order to avoid trading mistakes. Mentors have already mastered the trading strategy and can guide you through in your trading career. Quality information on trading, trading courses are usually welcomed by the people who lack proper insight into the intricacies of trading.

Qualities of a Mentor
The most important step is to look for a good mentor who possesses quint-essentials of a mentor. He should be credible, experienced, practicing what he actually preaches, offers endless support. A mentor is supposed to be dependable on whom the person can depend. He must be approachable and friendly as well. If you are seeking for a mentor look for such a person who helps you in gaining confidence in confidence is the key to success. He must teach you how to believe in the trading strategy that he/she is preaching. Your mentor should be a current trader and not a person who has left trading a long time back. The mentor should have practically no issues over discussing a trade over email. He must be able to answer your particular trade setups.

A mentor is a friend, philosopher, teacher and a guide of yours. He must be well equipped with the information on the market and must update you with regular market commentary.

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Avoiding Psychological Traps That Ruin Your Trading

Post  commexfx broker on Tue Sep 23, 2014 6:02 pm

Doing away with your own psychological traps can only establish you as a successful trader. Forex education can be beguiling. They are the sources for making money and lack realistic parameters. The forex education or the contents on markets that are cheap, meant for being talked. There is a belief that the market is random and no analysis can control the market.

The market is not random
The belief on the randomness of the market is silly. It is an illusion that the market is random. When you are unable to predict the market, you tend to blame it by calling it random. If we perform the Brownian Motion Experiment, which states that on knowing the speed, position along with the mass can help you detect the most correct position of the particles. The exact position and the timing of the movement of the particles can be predicted with this. This holds true even with the forex market. In the financial market, the price movements take place by the time and value of buying and selling transactions. If you can judge the motives of participants of the market then you can predict every move of the market. Markets are not at all random rather it is controlled by the buyers and sellers. Like a myriad it appears to be random on time frames which are smaller since you cannot properly predict the movements of the market. A technical analysis when the market is on the smaller time frame will only give you statistical edge. You can beat the market if you understand the technicalities that rule the market. It is easy to beat the speculative market with the help of strategies that helps in cutting short the losers and allowing the winning traders to function smoothly. Returns through the speculative market is comparatively more. It is a myth that the market is random.

Lack of faith: cause of fear among traders
Traders are afraid of trading thinking that the market is random, but it is not the market, which is random rather it is the trader’s mindset that invites undue fear. Psychological issues can make you think that the market is random. If you do not believe in yourself as a trader and dread the markets the better take a back seat and stop trading.

The way to self belief
If you want to stop thinking that the market is random and cannot be challenged then you are wrong. You can challenge the market both factually and spiritually. In order to beat the market factually frame a strategic trending the longer time frames along with using the shorter time frame when you enter. You must in this case, hold positions till the change of trend of the longer time frame takes place, whereas you should employ a tight stop loss on the initial entries. Trade the instruments that show powerful trends. Keep on testing this for some time and if you have reasonably built the strategy with no over curving fitted then things can turn in your favor.

Overcoming the fear of the market is necessary for successful trading. If you dread the market, ask yourself the reason behind it and try to solve it. Gaining self control by self belief and effective trading can confirm you a good trader.

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Withdraw your winnings instantly with the new FX Debit card

Post  commexfx broker on Wed Sep 24, 2014 5:50 pm

FX brokers need to survive in the competitive FX industry, and to do this it has to constantly provide innovative and unparalleled products!

The Forex Debit Card is a step in the right direction!

Forex brokers are now offering their traders a branded debit card which offers a series of unique advantages.

The biggest advantage is that all payments are made faster and easier; especially withdrawals which have been a payment nightmare for a lot of FX brokers. Now traders can withdraw from their FX trading account at any time and from anywhere.

The other advantages of an FX branded debit card are that it can be used as any regular debit card; it is accepted globally at any ATM around the world.

The card can also be used for point-of-sale payments anywhere too, and most of them provide a free SMS notification of all transactions carried out.

Account balances can be checked online at any time, allowing easy management of your finances.

And naturally having a debit card attached to your FX trading account allows instant access to your profits, and the attractive thing is that you can withdraw them immediately: no fuss, no stress and more importantly no delay in withdrawals

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Daily Outlook 24-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Wed Sep 24, 2014 6:07 pm

EUR/USD
The EUR traded marginally lower against the USD and closed at 1.2847, after the manufacturing PMI in Germany, Euro-zone’s biggest economy dropped to 50.3 in September .
In the US, the manufacturing PMI remained steady at 57.9 in September, compared to market expectations of a rise to 58.0. Meanwhile, the housing price index rose 0.1%, on a monthly basis. Yesterday, the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, in a conference, stated that he expects the first move of hiking the interest rates by the Fed would be employed at the end of the first quarter 2015.
The pair is expected to find support at 1.2827, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2801. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2891, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2929.
GBP/USD
The GBP rose 0.15% against the USD and closed at 1.6391.
In economic news, the UK mortgage approvals registered an unexpected drop to a level of 41.6K in August, lower than market expectations of a rise to 42.9K and following a revised reading of 42.8K registered in the p The pair is expected to find support at 1.633, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6259. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6444, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6487. Trading trends in the Pound today are expected to be determined by economic news from other countries.
USD/JPY
The USD strengthened 0.06% against the JPY and closed at 108.83.
Early morning data indicated that, the preliminary manufacturing PMI in Japan unexpectedly eased to 51.7 in September, lower than market expectations of a rise to a level of 52.5 and down from 52.2 in August. The pair is expected to find support at 108.25, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 107.87. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.01, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.39.
USD/CHF
The USD traded flat against the CHF and closed at 0.9398.
The pair is expected to find support at 0.9363, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9332. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9414, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9434. Going forward, investors keenly await the SNB’s Q3 bulletin to get more insights on the Swiss economy, scheduled in a few hours.


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The Art of Effective Forex Trading at the End of the Day by the working class

Post  commexfx broker on Thu Sep 25, 2014 4:53 pm

There are various categories of people who are on regular job, but also aspire to be effective traders in Forex apart from their staple work. Hence, they are supposed to handle the trading related to burials only at the end of the day – after the trading session is over. This requires some skills to be inculcated within yourself if you are such an aspiring incumbent. These have certain things related to planning and self discipline as well — to achieve cherished results in Foreign Exchange business. Many people become emotional in dealing with the Forex market while dealing with it at the end of the day — which damages the spirit and also results in loss.

The correct steps

One should always be objective while doing trading which demands planning and a structured method of acquiring the knowledge first and then participating in the market trading. Proper planning is essential to make yourself accountable for your trading account –which is the hardest portion as your own trading account performance is managed by you and no one to blame if it goes wrong. So first and foremost, it has to be considered as a separate entity if one wants to generate revenue from the account. The Trading account needs to be managed with utmost care to gain in the market. Finally, you should review the account statement everyday before and after analyzing the market price trends and four hour charts pertaining to everyday trading.

Forex Trading Attributes
If you over analyze the market and push or struggle more towards your speculation to turn true – the more stressed you will be and your trading account will suffer the most.One has to come out of his or her psychological hurdles first before participating in the business field. It is quite important to hold patience if one wants to excel in the Forex business market. In the Forex market, two unavoidable virtues required is patience and confidence which are interrelated. If one can analyze the market with patience and wait for the best price action setup before taking any decision in the market – the result will be in his favor, which in turn will increase your win rate. Continuous increase in win rate will give you confidence to boost up for the right trading pattern.
This is how one participates in the market with high accuracy which leads to high confidence resulting increasing success rate. Therefore, it is important for any trader, newcomer or veteran to judge one’s patience level and confidence level before involving oneself in forex trading.

Critical elements of Forex trading
The critical planning is very important and this is to be incorporated in every day’s trading plan which should be free of emotional hazards and should be totally objective oriented. Few steps are mentioned here. During Strategic entry in the market, the entry point is very important. The Risk associated with trading needs to be analyzed before entering the market. It is important at this stage to know about the Forex position sizing. Exit strategy should be documented or formulated before entering the market and not decided after entering. When you have not entered the trade you are in the best position to formulate the exit plan because you are not pressured by the movement of the trade.

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Daily Outlook 25-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Thu Sep 25, 2014 7:08 pm

EUR/USD
The EUR declined 0.55% against the USD and closed at 1.2776.
Yesterday, the Euro further lost ground after the ECB Chief, Mario Draghi, in an interview, stated that the central bank would keep its monetary policy accommodative for a considerable period of time. In the US, the new home sales surged 18.0%, on a monthly basis, in August to 504,000 units, marking its biggest one-month gain since 1992 and the highest level of sales since May 2008, following a revised increase of 1.9% to 427,000 units registered in the previous month. Meanwhile, number of mortgage applications in the nation dropped 4.1% on a weekly basis in the week ended 19 September, following a rise of 7.9% recorded in the prior week.
The Chicago Fed President, Charles Evans, indicated that although there is improvement in the US jobs market but the country’s economy still needs help from the extended period of low interest rates. He, further, urged that the Fed should remain “exceptionally patient” before hiking its interest rates and should be more concerned towards boosting the jobs market.
The pair is expected to find support at 1.2737, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2703. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2834, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2897.
GBP/USD
The GBP fell 0.37% against the USD and closed at 1.6331.
The pair is expected to find support at 1.6286, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6251. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6385, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6449.
Trading trends in the Pound today are expected to be determined by the BoE Governor Mark Carney’s speech, the first after Scottish referendum, scheduled later today.
USD/JPY
The USD strengthened 0.33% against the JPY and closed at 109.19.
Earlier today, data indicated that the Japanese corporate service price index rose 3.5%, on an annual basis, in August, lower than market expectations for a 3.7% gain and compared to a revised increase registered in the previous month. The pair is expected to find support at 108.66, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.14. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.52, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.87. Going forward, investors would await Japan’s crucial CPI data, scheduled in the early hours tomorrow.
USD/CHF
The USD rose 0.67% against the CHF and closed at 0.9461.
In economic news, Swiss UBS consumption indicator declined to 1.35 in August, compared to a revised reading of 1.67 reported in the past month.
The pair is expected to find support at 0.9411, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9361. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9487, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9513.

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Conference Board Indicators and Their Use

Post  commexfx broker on Mon Sep 29, 2014 5:02 pm

Conference Board is non-profit organization that holds the status of tax exempt in the US. There are three distinct indicators leading, lagging along with coincident indicators which are based on corresponding release data, the type of data that they cover. Leading indicators offer information about future economic events. Through analysis of data the information is arrived at. Leading indicators can provide you an idea about the economic development in the near future. There are various types of leading indicators that are dealt with. The lending surveys that are conducted through central banks are very authentic. Credit available gives an idea of the economy and the growth performance can also be judged. The rate of federal fund impacts the willingness of consumers and firms to borrow. In short lagging indicators describes an anterior condition of the release date. The past GDP report has little or no relation to the future economic activity. It is helpful for it provides an idea about the situation of the economy. Unemployment rate provides the idea about future consumption. Then there are coincident indicators that provide a timely economic snapshot. All three leading, lagging and coincident indicators are produced by the US.

The components of leading indicators
They are a group of information that are published by a foundation on monthly basis for predicting the future economic conditions. This information is combined to form composite leading indicators. There are mainly 10 components that make up the composite leading indicators

1. The averaging of hours worked by workers in a week
Weekly hours are adjusted in order to make the demand potential suitable that is expected to be generated by the economy. This is used as an important component of the leading indicators.
2. Averaging of the unemployment insurance application.
3. New orders of the manufacturer for consumer materials and sales
4. The delivery speed of new merchandise and goods to the vendors from the supplier
5. New orders amount for the capital goods
6. New building amount permits for the residential buildings.
7. The S&P 500 index for stock is an excellent indicator
8. The growth in money supply
9. The gap between the long term and short term interest rates
10. The sentiment of the consumer holds an important significance. Economic activities slow down greatly as a result of the frightfulness of the consumer for future who saves upon in order to prepare for difficulties.

The significance of the leading indicators
As such, leading indicators do not have much significance in the context of short term trading. You cannot predict the market if you are trading short term. The leading release becomes too abstract for generating strong reactions. But for long term trading leading indicators are immensely useful.
The usefulness of lagging indicators
Lagging indicators provide insight on the financial developments of the past. There are mainly 7 lagging indicators that are used for constructing the composite lagging indicators.

1. The tenure of unemployment
Averaging the weeks of unemployment gives an idea about the difficulty of the labor market.
2. Stocking, liquidation of the inventories.
3. Prime rate average, which is the interest charged to high-rated customers by the banks. It reflects the FED Funds Rate.
4. Outstanding commercial and industrial loans.
5. Per unit change of labor cost every unit
6. Consumer Installment credit ratio to personal income ratio.
7. The price index of consumer.

An effective picture of the industrial activity can be obtained by combining leading, coincident and lagging indicators. There is a close relation between the indicator and the economic activity.

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Daily Outlook 30-09-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Tue Sep 30, 2014 7:12 pm

EUR/USD
The EUR rose 0.14% against the USD and closed at 1.2690.
On the macro front, consumer prices in Germany came in flat, on a monthly basis, in September, similar to an unchanged reading registered in the previous month. In other economic news, the Euro-zone’s economic sentiment indicator recorded a drop to 99.9 in September. In the US, pending home sales dropped 1.0% on a monthly basis in August, more than market. The pair is expected to find support at 1.2667, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2639. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2719, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2743.
Trading trends in the Euro today would be determined by the Euro-zone’s crucial CPI as well as unemployment data, scheduled in a few hours.
GBP/USD
The GBP rose 0.06% against the USD and closed at 1.6243.
Net consumer credit in the UK advanced by £0.9 billion in August, more than market expectations of £0.8 billion. It had risen by £1.1 billion in the previous month. Meanwhile, the number of mortgage approvals for house purchases in Britain dropped to 64.2K.
Overnight data indicated that, the Gfk consumer confidence in the UK eased to -1.0 in September. The pair is expected to find support at 1.622, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.6187. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6281, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6309.
Trading trends in the Pound today would be determined by Britain’s crucial GDP figures.
USD/JPY
The USD weakened 0.06% against the JPY and closed at 109.40.
Earlier today, data indicated that unemployment rate in Japan unexpectedly dropped to 3.5% in August, registering a 16-year low, lower than market expectations to rise to 3.8% and following a similar level registered in the previous month. Meanwhile, industrial production in Japan unexpectedly eased 1.5% on a monthly basis in August, less than market expectations for an advance of 0.2% and compared to 0.4% rise registered in the previous month.
USDCHF
The USD declined 0.12% against the CHF and closed at 0.9511.The pair is expected to find support at 0.9485, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9464. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9531, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9556.
Trading trends in the Swiss Franc today is expected to be determined by Switzerland’s KOF leading indicator, scheduled in a few hours.

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Forex fundamental analysis : what you need to know

Post  commexfx broker on Tue Oct 07, 2014 4:51 pm

Fundаmеntаl аnаlуsіs іn Fоrех trаdіng studіеs thе mасrо-есоnоmіс еvеnts оf thе соuntrу оr соuntrіеs аs wеll аs оthеr еvеnts suсh аs роlіtісаl еvеnts оr аnnоunсеmеnts, whісh mау hаvе аn еffесt оn thе сurrеnсу mаrkеt. Рrеdісtіоns аnd sресulаtіоn саn bе mаdе mоrе еffісіеntlу bу thе trаdеr whеn studуіng thеsе еvеnts. Тhе trаdеr fоllоws thе bаsіс rulе thаt сurrеnсіеs аrе а rеflесtіоn оf suррlу аnd dеmаnd whісh іs bаsеd uроn thе соndіtіоns оf thе есоnоmу. Роlіtісаl nеws аnd есоnоmіс еvеnts hаvе а hеаvу іnfluеnсе оn thе сurrеnсу mаrkеt. Whеn а роlіtісіаn gіvеs а sреесh, оr rеlеаsеs соuntrу есоnоmу nеws thеrе wіll bе а hіgh іmрасt оn mаrkеt mоvеs.
Іn Fоrех trаdіng, thе fundаmеntаls аrе јust аbоut еvеrуthіng аnd аnуthіng, frоm nаturаl dіsаstеrs tо іntеrеst rаtеs. Тhеrе аrе twо tуреs оf еvеnts thаt саn еffесt thе mаrkеt: ехресtеd аnd unехресtеd. Аs аn ехаmрlе, аn unехресtеd еvеnt mау bе а nаturаl dіsаstеr оr аn асt оf tеrrоrіsm. Аn ехресtеd еvеnt mау bе іn thе fоrm оf uрdаtеd stаtіstісs оn unеmрlоуmеnt оr іnflаtіоn, оr соuld bе а роlіtісаl sреесh whісh dіsсussеs есоnоmіс іndісаtоrs.
Тhе mоst іnfluеntіаl есоnоmіс іndісаtоrs аffесtіng thе Fоrех mаrkеt аrе аs fоllоws:
Еmрlоуmеnt:
Рауrоll еmрlоуmеnt іs а mеаsurе оf thе numbеr оf јоbs аt lаrgеr соmраnіеs. ЕСІ соunts thе numbеr оf раіd еmрlоуееs. Іf thеrе hаs bееn а dесrеаsе іn Рауrоll Еmрlоуmеnt, іt mау lеаd tо lоwеr іntеrеst rаtеs аnd hаvе а nеgаtіvе іmрасt оf thаt раrtісulаr соuntrіеs сurrеnсу.
Іntеrеst Rаtе:
Whеn а соuntrу іnсrеаsеs іntеrеst rаtеs, thе сurrеnсу wіll strеngthеn. Аs іnvеstоr соnfіdеnсе grоws, thеу wіll mоvе thеіr аssеts tо thаt раrtісulаr соuntrу’s сurrеnсіеs fоr hореs оf еаrnіng lаrgеr рrоfіts аnd rеturns.
Grоss Dоmеstіс Рrоduсts (GDР):
Тhіs іndісаtоr іs rеlеаsеd 4 tіmеs реr уеаr (quаrtеrlу), іs thе sum оf аll sеrvісеs оr gооds рrоduсеd bу dоmеstіс оr fоrеіgn соmраnіеs. Тhе GDР іndісаtоrs wіll shоw hоw muсh (оr lіttlе) thе асtіvіtу hаs bееn іn thе соuntrу’s есоnоmу. Іf thе GDР іs hіghеr, thеrе wіll bе ехресtаtіоns thаt thе іntеrеst rаtеs wіll bе hіghеr.
Durаblе Gооds:
Durаblе Gооd Оrdеrs mеаsurе thе аmоunt оf nеw оrdеrs frоm lаrgеr соmраnіеs оvеr сеrtаіn реrіоds оf tіmе. Whеn thе іndісаtоrs shоw thаt оrdеrs аrе rіsіng іt shоws strоngеr есоnоmіс асtіvіtу, whісh lеаds tо hіghеr іntеrеst rаtеs shоrt tеrm.
Rеtаіl Ѕаlеs:
Rеtаіl sаlеs аrе аn іmроrtаnt іndісаtоr, аs іt shоws соnsumеr ехреndіturе. Тhіs іndісаtоr саn сrеаtе quіtе а bіt оf vоlаtіlіtу іn thе mаrkеt. Іnvеstоrs оftеn usеs thіs іndісаtоr tо рrеdісt іnflаtіоn.
Lаstlу, іt іs іmроrtаnt tо usе thе есоnоmіс саlеndаr whісh wіll hеlр уоu stау сurrеnt оn аll nеws аnd рrеss rеlеаsеs реrtаіnіng tо уоur mаrkеt. Fоr mоst, thе dаtеs wіll bе рublіshеd рrіоr tо thе асtuаl rеlеаsе. Unехресtеd еvеnts wіll оftеn саusе hіghеr vоlаtіlіtу аt а rаріd sрееd.
Тhе Маgіс оf Fоrех Fundаmеntаl Аnаlуsіs
Fundаmеntаl аnаlуsіs wіthіn thе fоrеіgn ехсhаngе mаrkеt, соmеs dоwn tо thе mаіn stаtеmеnt whісh sауs thаt thе сurrеnсу оf thе соuntrу wіth реrfоrms bеttеr, іs strоngеr аgаіnst thе сurrеnсу оf а соuntrу wіth а lоwеr реrfоrmаnсе. Тhе rеsult іs thаt thе соuntrу’s сurrеnсу thаt hаs аn uрtrеnd wіll strеngthеn аgаіnst thе соuntrу’s сurrеnсу wіth thе dоwntrеnd.
Тhіs оссurs duе tо thе fасt thаt thе соuntrу іs bеttеr реrсеіvеd bу іnvеstоrs whо аrе аttrасtеd tо еасh саріtаl, mаkіng іts сurrеnсу gаіn іn vаluе аs іt grаduаllу сrеаtеs а hіghеr dеmаnd. Fоrеіgn іnvеstоrs wіshіng tо іnvеst wіthіn а соuntrу nееd thе nаtіоnаl сurrеnсу tо rерlасе thеіr оwn сurrеnсу, thеrеbу stіmulаtіng thе grоwth оf thе сurrеnсу іn thе fоrеіgn ехсhаngе mаrkеt аnd ultіmаtеlу furthеr іnсrеаsе thе dеmаnd.
Fоrех trаdеrs thаt wіsh tо рrеdісt futurе сurrеnсу trеnds, mаіnlу аssеss thе stаtе оf thе есоnоmу usіng mасrо-есоnоmіс іndісаtоrs. Тhеsе іndісаtоrs shоw thе рісturе оf thе есоnоmу іn dіffеrеnt соntехts dереndіng оn whісh іndех уоu сhооsе tо аnаlуzе. Тhе mоst соmmоnlу usеd іndісаtоrs аrе: іntеrеst rаtеs, grоss dоmеstіс рrоduсt (GDР), іnflаtіоn, unеmрlоуmеnt аnd іndustrіаl рrоduсtіоn.
Тhе mоst соmmоn strаtеgіеs fоr fundаmеntаl аnаlуsіs аrе:
а) Lоng-tеrm – bаsеd оn а dеtаіlеd ехаmіnаtіоn оf dаtа есоnоmіеs mаkіng uр а gіvеn сurrеnсу раіr. Іnvеstоrs tаkе а lоng роsіtіоn іn thе сurrеnсу оf thе соuntrу thаt іs bеttеr dеvеlоріng, but shоrt оn thе сurrеnсу оf thе соuntrу whеrе thе есоnоmіс sіtuаtіоn іs wеаkеnеd (еg сrіsіs).
b) Ѕhоrt-tеrm – іs tо ореn а роsіtіоn аt thе tіmе оf рublісаtіоn оf mасrоесоnоmіс dаtа. Іf thе dаtа turn оut bеttеr thаn ехресtеd tо ореn lоng роsіtіоns аnd іf thеу аrе wоrsе – ореn shоrt роsіtіоns. Іf thе fоrесаst іs соnfіrmеd, wе dо nоt mаkе аnу dесіsіоns.
Тhе аррrоасh tо fundаmеntаl аnаlуsіs dереnds рrіmаrіlу оn еасh trаdеr аnd hіs реrsоnаl аррrоасh аnd рrеfеrrеd strаtеgу. Еvеrу іnvеstоr іs dіffеrеnt аnd еvеrуоnе shоuld сhооsе whаt’s bеst fоr hіm. Νоt еvеrуоnе wаnts tо hоld ореn роsіtіоns fоr sеvеrаl mоnths, јust аs nоt еvеrуоnе wаnts tо ореn роsіtіоns wіthіn 1-2 sесоnds аftеr thе рublісаtіоn оf mасrоесоnоmіс dаtа.
Yоu mау vеrу wеll соmbіnе thе twо mеthоds оf аnаlуsіs оr реrhарs dеvеlор уоur оwn wау tо ореn роsіtіоns іn thе fоrех mаrkеt. Іn аddіtіоn, уоu саn usе thе tесhnісаl аnаlуsіs оf thе dаtа аnаlуsіs оf сurrеnсу раіrs аnd thе sаmе есоnоmіеs. Тhеrе аrе nо rіgіd strаtеgіеs, уоu shоuld fоllоw, but bеttеr fіgurе оut whаt suіts уоur wау оf trаdіng

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Daily Outlook 7-10-2014

Post  commexfx broker on Tue Oct 07, 2014 6:52 pm

EUR/USD
The EUR rose 1.12% against the USD and closed at 1.2652. On the macro front, the Sentix consumer confidence in the Euro-zone eased for the third consecutive month in October to -13.7, registering its lowest level since May 2013. The pair is expected to find support at 1.2525, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2439. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2686, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2761. Trading trends in the Euro today are expected to be determined by Germany’s industrial production data, set for release in a few hours.
GBP/USD
The GBP rose 0.75% against the USD and closed at 1.6077.In economic news, new car registrations in the UK registered a rise of 5.6%, on an annual basis, in September. It follows an increase of 9.4% registered in the prior month. The pair is expected to find support at 1.5961, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.5891. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.6101, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.6171. Trading trends in the Pound today would be mainly determined by the NIESR’s UK GDP estimate for the three months to September, scheduled later in the day.
USD/JPY
The USD weakened 0.90% against the JPY and closed at 108.82. The pair is expected to find support at 108.68, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.14. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.71, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.21. Going forward, market participants await Japan’s leading economic as well as coincident indices data, scheduled shortly.
USD/CHF
The USD declined 0.97% against the CHF and closed at 0.9586. The pair is expected to find support at 0.9562, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9509. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9673, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9731.Meanwhile, investors would keep a close eye on Swiss consumer prices data, scheduled in a few hours.

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CommexFX Refer a Friend’ program

Post  commexfx broker on Mon Oct 13, 2014 8:44 pm

CommexFX is happy to be launching a new and more rewarding ‘Refer a Friend’ program. Our clients can now make higher bonuses up to 1000 USD for referring friends and fellow traders to CommexFX.

For more information visit > http://www.commexfx.com/partner-with-us/refer-a-friend/

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